“This was a conquering of the nation not by force but with a permission slip. Now, America stands on the precipice of an authoritarian style of governance never before seen in its 248-year history.” –Lisa Lerer
I’m still struggling to process what happened to America (and to the world and the planet) last week. While I’m trying to keep the modulated emotional response celebrated in the Taoist ‘May be’ parable, it is difficult to do so. Gone is the intentional pursuit of sustainability (as mediocre as it may have been), now instead we will “drill, baby, drill.” (Of course, if Trump’s defeat led to a civil war, that too would have ended the intentional pursuit of sustainability—ah, you wise Taoists.)1
What’s most difficult to process is that 75 million Americans voted for Trump (compared to 71 million for Harris), choosing, most likely, to embrace an era of authoritarianism. One reflection I started but never published (but probably should now) was a complex dual book review of How Democracies Die and How Civil Wars Start. Both made complementary points, though the first is more relevant here.2 In essence, democracies die today “less at the hand of men with guns and more by elected leaders.” This happens as the branches of power congeal—judges become no longer independent, legislative bodies irrelevant—whether through co-option, threat, or legal artifice. Trump is certainly poised to do this. He’s learned from his mistakes, has honed a cadre of likeminded allies, and will probably be more effective in getting executive bodies to follow his mandate. It’s going to be a tough four years, potentially crescendoing with the shocking (sort of) discovery that this post-democratic reality is the new permanent state of American government.
75 million Americans also chose the economy, migration, fetal rights, or whatever issue motivated them over the long-term wellbeing of the planet (which includes the United States last time I checked). This was especially stark in Florida, which, wracked by multiple hurricanes exacerbated by climate change, is only going to get more abused under this oil-centric Trump path. And yet, Trump won by 13 points, a larger margin than his first two elections and the largest in 36 years.
A Gaian perspective
What kind of Gaian perspective can I offer? The day after the election I was so dejected that the best I could do was retreat to nature in hopes I could glean a bit of solace there. A hawk went about her business catching a sparrow (she missed), centuries-old trees were unmoved, and the Connecticut River continued to flow. Earth and Life will carry on. No matter how bad an unhinged American empire gets.3
Perhaps there’s also space for compassion. As Americans get sicker (from both an increasingly toxic environment and toxic diet), more abused by wealth inequalities, more manipulated by the media, social media and now AI, they increasingly have and will have difficulty discerning their own long-term interests. They also see in Trump’s uncensored everyday-guy persona someone relatable (verses the intimidatingly intelligent foreign named mixed race woman who, let’s be honest, is nothing like most Americans), and desperately want to trust his promises that he’s gonna take care of them. It’s saddening but as Vu Le noted in Nonprofit AF, it’s ok to grieve:
“Grieve for the inequities that brought us to this place. Grieve for the difficult road ahead. Grieve for the lives that will be lost because of the malice and vindictiveness that will shape the policies our communities must further endure. Grieve at what could have been, the hope and optimism and the brighter reality we could have had.”
And of course, those lost lives include non-human ones, and the brighter (or at least less bad) reality that could have been a 2°C future, one where more biodiversity was sustained, more cities protected, more lives—of all species—saved, instead of a 3°C future or worse, one that could bring about devastating positive feedback climate loops, causing even greater ecological changes and suffering.
What should Gaians do now?
In our Gaian conversation last week, one participant mentioned a friend, an Earth activist who said, when asked how she was feeling about the election, that she appreciated the focus and clarity that it will bring to her work. That stopped me in my tracks. It feels almost kōan-like. I’m not sure I agree. In a Harris world, I feel it would have been pretty clear: push to inject degrowth into the eco-technic future vision. Now, it feels like even the very idea of sustainability is revolutionary. But perhaps therein lies her point. The people cannot sleepwalk towards a “sustainability” based on solar panels and climate treaties that pretend to solve the crisis but mask the realities with unproven carbon credits and future innovations yet to be determined.4
Instead, we must fight fully for any chance at sustainability. We are again in the resistance and have to treat our work in those terms (even if new Netflix shows keep coming out and distracting us). Maybe just for four more years, like in Trump Part I, but possibly more in the sense of Nazi Germany, where the outcome is not guaranteed and there is no end of the time spent resisting necessarily in sight. But that begs the question: If the American Democracy experiment comes to an end, in what way can sustainability be pursued? In what way can we reintegrate ecological literacy into this culture?5
I stand by the idea that as the world destabilizes, the cultivation of Gaian Guilds to connect people, to deepen their understanding of nature, to build shared resilience, to shepherd resources toward creating restorative human communities, is essential. Truthfully, I do not know how to do that (after five years of efforts, this seems as aspirational as it did in 2019). Though coming together for acts of protest and resistance might be a complementary step—or perhaps more effective will be to join other resistance efforts and inviting comrades there to participate in the nurturing space of a Guild. Again, to refer to Le’s essay, the fights against injustice (and for a sustainable future) are never easy:
“We knew this work would be hard. And while it seems insurmountable, there is hope as long as we don’t give up on one another and what we can achieve together.”
It may be that Trump’s second term, filled with injustices, broken promises, and outrages sparks a democratic renaissance (one that can be achieved because he failed to fully dismantle democratic institutions). Perhaps at that point America becomes a driver of true sustainability and bold transformation of the global economy. Or, more likely, the fractious nature of the American political and economic systems worsens and the democratic experiment winds down in the United States.
In either case, fighting for sustainability, and sowing the seeds for local ecological literacy and resilience are both critical. So once you’ve gotten into nature and healed from the initial shock of the path Americans elected, shake yourself off and get to work, in the ways you can to bring about an ecocentric, restorative future.
Endnotes
1) Or perhaps this accelerates the decline of the American empire, reducing global growth and consumption and the deep ecological damage these drive. We do not know what this moment will lead to.
2) Though, a key point from How Civil Wars Start is that the U.S. was, for the first time since around the U.S. Civil War, in a state of anocracy (a partial democracy), receiving a +5 out of a 20-point scale (-10 being autocracy, +10 being democracy).
3) Of course, lives will be lost. Species too. So my point is not to diminish the scope of suffering, but accept that in the deepest oceans, in the darkest caverns, the wildest of Gaian life will thrive, adapt, evolve, and populate whatever remains of Earth’s surface.
4) I explain this in many other reflections like this one on the energy transition and this one on hydrogen.
5) In a world where perhaps it’s illegal to even teach about climate change, where instead climate denial is readily introduced in schools, as in Florida.
Robert Wood
Erik,
I voted and then spent 13 hours working as an election official here in Bucks County, PA. I am satisfied I did all one man could do (legally) to ensure a free and fair election – Gaia help me I even helped an agitated older Indian women who insisted all she wanted to do was vote for Trump and could care less about any of the other candidates.
False, distorted claims and innuendos are everywhere and people no longer seem to recognize even their own best interests. Honestly I hold little hope for the future of the human race. I do take solace in the belief that Gaia will adjust to what ever we do and will survive; and I am part of her.
My grown children are not taken in; they plan to have no children. Is it any surprise that one of the most popular genres of movies and computer games these days is post apocalyptic science fiction? Our young are not fooled by the rhetoric.
I spent the day after the election in nature, meditating and then caring for the horses, dogs and gardens in my life and feeding wildlife. My wife, on the other hand, swore off broadcast news for the next four years; said she could no longer listen to it.
Keep up this great newsletter my friend, it brings a small piece of sanity into my life.
Erik Assadourian
Thank you Robert for your comment and story. It sounds like you found an excellent way to spend the day of and day after the election.
Go with Gaia,
Erik
Michael Lewis
Hello Erik: Thanks for this thoughtful essay. I too have been agonizing over What To Do Now.
My wife and I are septuagenarians who came together later in life after decades of separate environmental activism and organization throughout the American West. We have purposely crafted a simple and sufficient life of minimal material and energy consumption, local, bioregional activism and political participation and advocacy, on the California Central Coast, on the Pacific Plate, sublimely sailing north toward toward Alaska at a less than glacial pace.
Though we decry the recent political results, we understand that local, bioregional activism is the only leverage we have on politics, economics and environmental change. Environmeddlers such as ourselves are scarce as hen’s teeth round these parts, as the environmental community hereabouts is subsumed under climate change rhetoric and meaningless so-called climate change planning, over we we have no influence. Reducing “greenhouse gas emissions” is trotted out as the justification for every social program from homelessness to the daily commute. Anything that “gets people out of their cars” is deemed desirable and necessary, no matter the greater impact on the natural world in our bioregion.
We have long been proponents of bioregionalism as the organizing principle of truly sustainable human societies, I from my background in anthropology and anarchism, and my wife from her background in ecology, biology and environmental organization. Between the two of us, we have all reatures covered. We create ad hoc local organizations to counter local government and non-profit policies, programs and projects that modify, fracture and destroy the natural world, promoting the concepts of interdependence, ecological well-being and humans being our role in the biosphere.
I’m encouraged in reading your Gaian (Gaean) essays and look forward to corresponding with you and others about this essential understanding.
Erik Assadourian
Thank you Michael. You offer some great points and an important reminder that beyond empire will be a return to bioregional living (though there may be those actors that continue to take more than their share of what the bioregion offers….). Looking forward to corresponding more too!
Amanda de la Vega
We she her differently. She is more powerful than us as we are wholly dependent upon her for life. Exceedingly tolerant of us, endlessly giving and evolving to our needs. She will always step in if life is truly threatened but otherwise she leaves her children to mature at their own rate. When I saw the sky on Election Day, its endless beauty reminded me to focus on enjoying what is natural/real rather than fearing what is contrived/impermanent.
Erik Assadourian
A nice thought. And you may enjoy this Gaian parable, which captures this sentiment: https://gaianism.org/the-lost-son-returns-home/